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Structured intelligence products for principals navigating high-stakes operating environments. From flash assessments to comprehensive strategic reports — calibrated to your decision timeline.

Featured Analysis

Strategic Report

The Fragmentation of Global Maritime Order: Vectors, Actors, and Strategic Logic

The rules-based maritime order faces coordinated pressure from multiple state actors pursuing divergent but mutually reinforcing objectives. This assessment maps the key actors, contested zones, and strategic logic driving the challenge to international maritime norms.

Dr. Elena Vasquez, Senior Fellow · Indo-Pacific Security22 May 202628 min read
Intelligence Library
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RAPID ASSESSMENTEurope

Russia's Information Environment: Q2 2026 Assessment

Persistent influence operations targeting Central European democratic institutions have entered a new phase characterized by AI-generated synthetic media at scale.

20 May 2026 · 8 min readRead →
REGIONAL BRIEFIndo-Pacific

Indo-Pacific Power Calculus: Japan's Remilitarisation and Regional Implications

Japan's defense posture is undergoing its most significant transformation since 1947. The regional implications of its counter-strike capability acquisition are substantial and underanalyzed.

18 May 2026 · 14 min readRead →
TECHNICAL BRIEFIndo-Pacific

North Korea ICBM Program: Q2 2026 Capability Assessment

The DPRK's Hwasong-18 solid-fuel ICBM program has entered a new capability threshold. This brief assesses current inventory estimates and trajectory implications for extended deterrence.

15 May 2026 · 11 min readRead →
TECHNOLOGY BRIEFGlobal

AI-Enabled Intelligence Operations: Adversarial Doctrine and Western Gaps

Adversarial powers are integrating large-scale AI into their intelligence architectures at a pace that materially outstrips Western doctrine. This assessment identifies the critical capability gaps.

12 May 2026 · 19 min readRead →
FIELD ASSESSMENTAfrica

Sahel Security Vacuum: Wagner Successor Forces and the Coup Corridor Consolidation

Wagner successor entities operating under the Africa Corps designation have consolidated positions across three formerly French-aligned states, establishing a contiguous operational corridor.

10 May 2026 · 16 min readRead →
ECONOMIC INTELLIGENCEMENA

Gulf Sovereign Wealth Reallocation: Strategic Implications of the Aramco Stake Reduction

Saudi Arabia's Aramco stake reduction and accelerated PIF deployment signal a fundamental shift in Gulf sovereign wealth strategy with significant geopolitical implications for US-Saudi alignment.

8 May 2026 · 12 min readRead →
TECHNOLOGY BRIEFGlobal

Semiconductor Access Control: Policy Efficacy and Adversarial Adaptation

US-led semiconductor export controls have had measurable impact on adversarial chip acquisition, but adaptive procurement strategies are closing the gap faster than policymakers anticipated.

5 May 2026 · 15 min readRead →
REGIONAL BRIEFMENA

MENA Security Architecture: Structural Shifts in Q2 2026

The regional security architecture in the Middle East is undergoing its most significant realignment since the 2011 Arab Spring, driven by Iranian strategic recalibration and Gulf-Israel normalization dynamics.

2 May 2026 · 13 min readRead →

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